基于NAPG模型的攻击增益路径预测算法

针对网络攻击行为很难预测, 网络中冗余路径导致攻击预测不准确以及攻击路径评估预测指标单一的问题, 提出一种NAPG(network attack profit graph)模型. 该模型通过攻击成本和攻击收益直观地反应攻击行为的可行性, 采用攻击可行性分析算法消除冗余路径, 并将攻击增益引入到评估预测指标中, 给出机会增益路径预测算法和最优增益路径预测算法. 仿真实验验证了该模型和算法的有效性.

Attack Profit Path Prediction Algorithm Based on NAPG Model

Aiming at the problem that it was difficult to predictthe network attack behavior, the attack prediction was inaccurate for the redundant path in the network, and the single index of the evaluation and prediction of the attack path, we proposed an NAPG (network attack profit graph) model, which intuitively reflectedthe feasibility of attack behavior through attack cost and attack profit. The attack feasibility analysis algorithm was used to eliminate redundant paths, and the attack profit was introduced into the evaluation and prediction index. The opportunity profit path prediction algorithm and the optimal profit path prediction algorithm were given. The validity of the model and algorithm was verified by simulation experiments.