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基于som网络-灰关联分析-BP网络预测模型
引用本文:梁娜,张吉刚.基于som网络-灰关联分析-BP网络预测模型[J].海南大学学报(自然科学版),2009,27(4):377-381.
作者姓名:梁娜  张吉刚
作者单位:咸宁学院,数学与统计学院,湖北,咸宁,437100
基金项目:咸宁学院校级项目资助 
摘    要:提出一种基于som网络-灰关联分析-BP网络预测模型,用于股市收盘价的预测.首先采用som神经网络将特性分散的样本划分成不同的子类,然后采用灰关联分析方法,解析了各影响因子对股市收盘价的影响程度,以反映股市收盘价的影响因子作为输入变量,构建了股市收盘价的BP网络预测模型,结果表明:利用灰关联分析,可得出各凶子对股市收盘价影响程度的大小排序,能为股民提供参考;基于BP网络模型的预测结果准确,通过对所采集的股市数据进行测试,证实本文所提出的方法具有有效性.

关 键 词:som网络  灰关联分析  BP网络

Combinational Forecasting Model Based on Neural Network and Gray Relational Analysis
LIANG Na,ZHANG Ji-gang.Combinational Forecasting Model Based on Neural Network and Gray Relational Analysis[J].Natural Science Journal of Hainan University,2009,27(4):377-381.
Authors:LIANG Na  ZHANG Ji-gang
Institution:(Dep. of Mathematics Xianning College, Xianning , 437100, China )
Abstract:A combinational prediction model based on neural network and Gray relational analysis was presenled, which was applied to real-time prediction of economic-technical indexes in stock prices. The proposed method was used to divide samples which have characteristic of decentralization into different sub-classes with the aid of som neural network, and Gray relational analysis method was used to sequence the effects of each factor on price and provide reference for stock-owners. The forecasting results based on neural network were correct, which indicated the proposed method was efficient.
Keywords:som neural network  Gray relational analysis  BP neural network
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