经济增长的复杂性与“J”结构

从现代经济增长的事实和复杂性角度讨论了经济增长的原因和机制 .“J”结构是我们提出的一种经济增长复杂性的重要模式 ,这种具有潜在后发性优势但又需要先期投入的经济现象普遍存在于国际贸易、金融、教育、人力资源、生态环境等不同领域 .由于增长的复杂性 ,“J”结构及与之相对应的“J”过程或“J”效应往往被波动所掩盖 .本文进一步从物理、数学的角度指出“J”过程的本质是系统存在多重均衡时的非平衡相变过程 .最后 ,讨论了宏观经济系统中宏观变量之间的相互关系 ,“J”结构体现了这些宏观变量之间非线性相互作用机制.

"J" Structure and Complexity of Economic Growth

This paper explores the source and mechanism of modern economic growth based on modern economic growth facts and complexity theory. It is pointed out that "J" structure is an important economic growth mode representing universal phenomenon, which exists in international trade, financial, education, human capital, ecosystem, etc. The characteristic of "J" mode is that potential advantages can be obtained in cost of pre|investment. "J" structure and corresponding "J" process or "J" effect is often regarded as fluctuation phenomenon. In fact, the essence of "J" process is non|equilibrium transition in physical phenomenon. Finally, we discuss interaction between macroscopic variables in economic system and conclude that "J" structure represents one type of nonlinear interaction of macroeconomic system.