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| Long-term Energy Demand and CO_2 Problem in the PRC | |
| 引用本文： | LQ YingzhongInst. for Techno-Economics and Energy System Analysis. P.O. Box 1021,Beijing 102201,China. Long-term Energy Demand and CO_2 Problem in the PRC[J]. 系统工程与电子技术(英文版), 1991, 0(1) |
| 作者姓名： | LQ YingzhongInst. for Techno-Economics and Energy System Analysis. P.O. Box 1021 Beijing 102201 China |
| 作者单位： | LQ YingzhongInst. for Techno-Economics and Energy System Analysis. P.O. Box 1021，Beijing 102201，China |
| 摘 要： | The long-term energy demand in China and the-Chinese share in global CO2 emission are forecasted on the basis of scenarios of population growth and economy development up to 2050 proposed in view of the interaction of energy, economy, environment and social development. The total energy demand in 2050 will reach 4.4~ 5.4 billion tce. It is shown in energy supply analysis that coal is China's major energy in primary energy supply. The share of CO2 emission in the future Chinese energy system will be out of proportion to its energy consumption share because of the high persentage of coal to be consumed. It will reach about 27%. The nuclear option which would replace 30.7% of coal in the total primary energy supply will reduce the share by 9.8%. So the policy considerations on the future Chinese energy system is of great importance to the global CO2 issues. |
Long-term Energy Demand and CO_2 Problem in the PRC |
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| LQ YingzhongInst. for Techno-Economics and Energy System Analysis. P.O. Box ,Beijing ,China. Long-term Energy Demand and CO_2 Problem in the PRC[J]. Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics, 1991, 0(1) | |
| Authors: | LQ YingzhongInst. for Techno-Economics Energy System Analysis. P.O. Box Beijing China |
| Affiliation: | LQ YingzhongInst. for Techno-Economics and Energy System Analysis. P.O. Box 1021,Beijing 102201,China |
| Abstract: | The long-term energy demand in China and the-Chinese share in global CO2 emission are forecasted on the basis of scenarios of population growth and economy development up to 2050 proposed in view of the interaction of energy, economy, environment and social development. The total energy demand in 2050 will reach 4.4~ 5.4 billion tce. It is shown in energy supply analysis that coal is China's major energy in primary energy supply. The share of CO2 emission in the future Chinese energy system will be out of proportion to its energy consumption share because of the high persentage of coal to be consumed. It will reach about 27%. The nuclear option which would replace 30.7% of coal in the total primary energy supply will reduce the share by 9.8%. So the policy considerations on the future Chinese energy system is of great importance to the global CO2 issues. |
| Keywords: | Long-term forecast Energy demand CO2emission Climate change. |
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