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On the sign of the optimal combining weights under the error-variance minimizing criterion
Authors:Kuo-Yuan Liang
Abstract:Building on the well-known measure of the optimal combining weights under the error-variance minimizing criterion, this note has extended the sign-determination rule to the case of combining more than two competing forecasts. The algebraic rule derived provides a quick way to check the sign of each combining weight without directly comparing the correlation and variances of individual forecasting errors.
Keywords:Covariance matrix  Determinant Error-variance minimizing criterion  Forecasting
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