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贝叶斯决策方法及其应用
引用本文:王明辉. 贝叶斯决策方法及其应用[J]. 韶关学院学报, 2014, 0(10): 8-12
作者姓名:王明辉
作者单位:韶关学院 数学与信息科学学院,广东 韶关,512005
摘    要:风险决策存在于诸多的生产和经济活动中,在制定一项决策之前,应注重其风险分析,合理地将风险中的信息加以利用。根据贝叶斯理论的基本原理,通过一个具体实例,给出了应用贝叶斯理论的步骤和方法。

关 键 词:贝叶斯决策  后验性信息  期望损失  后验概率

Bayesian decision method and its application
WANG Ming-hui. Bayesian decision method and its application[J]. Journal of Shaoguan University(Social Science Edition), 2014, 0(10): 8-12
Authors:WANG Ming-hui
Affiliation:WANG Ming-hui (School of Mathematics and Information Science, Shaoguan University, Shaoguan 512005, Guangdong, China)
Abstract:Risk decision-making exists in a number of productions and economic activities. Before making a de-cision, great attention should be paid to its risk analysis and advantage of the information be taken from the risk reasonably. This paper summarizes basic principles of the Bayesian theory, and proposes the steps and the method in applying the Bayesian decision based on a concrete case.
Keywords:Bayesian decision  posteriori information  expected loss  posteriori probability
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