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基于STVAR的货币政策效果非对称性
引用本文:彭方平,吴强,展凯. 基于STVAR的货币政策效果非对称性[J]. 系统工程, 2008, 26(3): 40-44
作者姓名:彭方平  吴强  展凯
作者单位:1. 中山大学,管理学院,广东,广州,5102751
2. 华南师范大学,经济与管理学院,广东广州,510006;中南财经政法大学经济学院,湖北,武汉,430073
3. 广东外语外贸大学,经贸学院,广东,广州,510008
基金项目:教育部人文社会科学研究项目 , 中山大学校科研和教改项目
摘    要:
应用STVAR模型,对中国信贷周期变化与货币政策效果的非对称性进行研究.研究表明:(1)中国货币政策存在明显的"价格之谜"现象,且该现象在信贷扩张状态下表现更显著;(2)相比信贷扩张状态,信贷紧缩状态时,货币政策的产出效益更显著.基于上述结论进一步提供相关政策建议.

关 键 词:货币政策  非线性效应  模拟退火  平滑转移  货币政策  政策效果  对称性  Model  Based  Monetary Policy  Effect  政策建议  相关  产出效益  扩张状态  信贷紧缩  表现  现象  价格  存在  研究  周期变化  中国  模型
文章编号:1001-4098(2008)03-0040-05
修稿时间:2007-11-16

The Asymmetry of the Effect of Monetary Policy Based on STVAR Model
PENG Fang-ping,WU Qiang,ZHANG Kai. The Asymmetry of the Effect of Monetary Policy Based on STVAR Model[J]. Systems Engineering, 2008, 26(3): 40-44
Authors:PENG Fang-ping  WU Qiang  ZHANG Kai
Affiliation:PENG Fang-ping1,WU Qiang2,3,ZHANG Kai4(1.School of Business,Sun Yat-sen University,Guangzhou 510275,China,2.School of Economics , Management,Suoth China Normal University,Guangzhou 510006,3.School of Economy,Central South University of Economics , Law,Wuhan 437000,4.School of International Trade & Economy,Gu,ong University of Foreign Studies,China)
Abstract:
The paper firstly studies cyclical variation of credit and the asymmetry of the effect of Chinese monetary policies transmission by applying the STVAR model.The results show that: firstly,there exists a significant price puzzle phenomena in Chinese monetary policy,and when credit is in expansion this phenomena is stronger;secondly,the product effect of monetary policy is stronger when credit is in expansion than when credit is in contraction. Some policy advice is further provided based on above conclusions...
Keywords:Monetary Policy  Nonlinear Effects  Simulated Annealing  Smooth Transition  
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