| 福建省区域物流与区域经济的实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 沈忠明,张潜.福建省区域物流与区域经济的实证研究[J].中央民族大学学报(自然科学版),2012,21(2):60-64. |
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| 作者姓名： | 沈忠明 张潜 |
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| 作者单位： | 华侨大学经济与金融学院,福建泉州,362021 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金“区域物流配送动态建模及控制研究”(No.71040009) |
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| 摘 要： | 福建作为中国东部沿海地区经济最具活力的地区之一,通过大力发展现代区域物流业,促进了区域经济的增长,同时,经济的增长也带动了区域物流的发展.本文将采用误差修正模型及格兰杰因果检验,通过对1978～2010年福建省的经济指标时间序列进行协整分析,探讨福建GDP、物流产值、货物周转量、物流里程的协整关系,从而得出福建区域物流与区域经济增长之间的互动效应.本文发现区域物流的发展水平与区域经济增长存在长期均衡关系.
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| 关 键 词： | 区域物流 时间序列 计量分析 区域经济 |
An Empirical Research on Relationship between Fujian Regional Economics and Regional Logistics |
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| SHEN Zhong-ming,ZHANG Qian.An Empirical Research on Relationship between Fujian Regional Economics and Regional Logistics[J].Journal of The Central University for Nationalities(Natural Sciences Edition),2012,21(2):60-64. |
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| Authors: | SHEN Zhong-ming ZHANG Qian |
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| Institution: | 2(School of Economics and Finance,Huaqiao University,Quanzhou,Fujian 362021,China) |
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| Abstract: | As one of the most economically dynamic regions in the coastal areas of China,The economic growth of Fujian has been promoted through the development of modern logistics.The growth of regional economy in turn drives that of regional logistics.ECM model and Granger Causality Test method would be adopted herein in a co-integration analysis of Fujian economic indicators time series in 1978-2010.Through discussing the metrology relationships among Fujian GDP,the output value of logistics,turnover of cargo,mileage of cargo,the co-integration effect between economic growth and logistics development in Fujian can be concluded.Result indicates there exists a long-term equilibrium relation between them. |
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| Keywords: | regional logistics time series quantitative analysis regional economics |
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