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基于delta方法泊松分布参数的近似信仰推断
引用本文:谭常春,邓晴晴,周尧.基于delta方法泊松分布参数的近似信仰推断[J].合肥工业大学学报(自然科学版),2012(3):421-423.
作者姓名:谭常春  邓晴晴  周尧
作者单位:合肥工业大学数学学院
基金项目:教育部重大专项资助项目(309017);中央高校科研业务费专项资金资助项目(2011HGXJ1078)
摘    要:文章主要研究了Poisson分布参数λ的近似信仰推断,利用对数变换后的估计量的渐近正态性对λ建立近似的枢轴方程,并得到其近似信仰分布和置信区间。模拟结果表明,近似信仰区间与Wald置信区间的平均长度几乎无差异,但近似信仰置信区间覆盖概率明显优于Wald置信区间的覆盖概率。

关 键 词:Poisson分布  delta方法  近似信仰推断  枢轴方程

Approximate fiducial inference for the parameter of Poisson distribution based on delta method
TAN Chang-chun,DENG Qing-qing,ZHOU Yao.Approximate fiducial inference for the parameter of Poisson distribution based on delta method[J].Journal of Hefei University of Technology(Natural Science),2012(3):421-423.
Authors:TAN Chang-chun  DENG Qing-qing  ZHOU Yao
Institution:(School of Mathematics,Hefei University of Technology,Hefei 230009,China)
Abstract:This paper mainly discusses the approximate fiducial inference of Poisson distribution with the parameter λ.An approximate pivotal equation about λ is constructed based on the asymptotic normality of a logarithmic-transformed estimator.Then an approximate fiducial distribution and confidence interval of the Poisson parameter are obtained.The simulation results indicate that the average burst length of the approximate fiducial interval and the Wald confidence interval is almost the same,but the coverage probability of the approximate fiducial interval is obviously superior to the Wald confidence interval’s.
Keywords:Poisson distribution  delta method  approximate fiducial inference  pivotal equation
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