| 山东省能源消费、产业结构和经济发展关系实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 张传平,赵亚楠.山东省能源消费、产业结构和经济发展关系实证研究[J].甘肃科学学报,2014(2):119-123. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张传平 赵亚楠 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国石油大学经济管理学院,山东青岛266580 |
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| 基金项目： | 中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金（13CX06019B） |
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| 摘 要： | 基于1980—2011年统计数据,对山东省能源消费、产业结构和经济发展时间序列进行协整分析和Granger因果关系检验,并运用脉冲反应和方差分解分析了序列间的动态变化.结果表明:山东省产业结构和经济发展对能源消费的长期均衡影响效应分别为2.601 2和0.635 7.经济增长对产业结构存在着单向因果关系,产业结构对能源消费也有单向因果关系.
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| 关 键 词： | 能源消费 产业结构 经济发展 协整分析 因果关系检验 |
Research on Relationship among Energy Consumption,Industrial Structure and Economic Development of Shandon |
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| ZHANG Chuan-ping,ZHAO Ya-nan.Research on Relationship among Energy Consumption,Industrial Structure and Economic Development of Shandon[J].Journal of Gansu Sciences,2014(2):119-123. |
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| Authors: | ZHANG Chuan-ping ZHAO Ya-nan |
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| Institution: | (School of Economics Management ,China University of Petroleum ,Qingdao 266580 ,China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on the statistical data from 1980 to 2011,this paper aims at the co-integration analysis and Granger causality test of time series of energy consumption, industrial structure and economic develop- ment of Shandong. Impulse response and variance decomposition are adopted to analyze the dynamics of the sequences. The results show that long-term equilibrium effects of the industrial structure and economic de- velopment of Shandong province on energy consumption are 2. 6012 and 0. 6357 respectively. Economic growth has a one-way causal relationship to industrial structure,and industrial structure bears a similar re- lationship to energy consumption. |
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| Keywords: | Energy consumption Industrial structure Economic development Co-integration analysis Causality test |
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