| 韶关市人口老龄化预测的偏微分方程模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 简国明,王尚九.韶关市人口老龄化预测的偏微分方程模型[J].韶关学院学报,2012,33(6):5-8. |
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| 作者姓名： | 简国明 王尚九 |
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| 作者单位： | 韶关学院数学与信息科学学院,广东韶关,512005 |
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| 基金项目： | 韶关市第六次全国人口普查重点研究课题资助(韶人普办[2011]15号) |
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| 摘 要： | 针对2010年第六次全国人口普查韶关市的相关数据,应用偏微分方程理论,建立了老龄人口预测的偏微分方程模型,并把连续问题离散化,得出了该模型的差分方程结构,并讨论了韶关市人口出生率、死亡率和人口密度等问题,得到了韶关市未来10年人口老龄化的变化规律及发展趋势.
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| 关 键 词： | 人口普查 人口老龄化 偏微分方程模型 发展趋势 |
Predicting model for aging of population in Shaoguan by partial differential equation |
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| JIAN Guo-ming
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WANG Shang-jiu.Predicting model for aging of population in Shaoguan by partial differential equation[J].Journal of Shaoguan University(Social Science Edition),2012,33(6):5-8. |
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| Authors: | JIAN Guo-ming WANG Shang-jiu |
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| Institution: | (College of Mathematics and Information Science,Shaoguan University,Shaoguan 512005,Guangdong,China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on data of the sixth national census in shaoguan,we got the predicting model for aging of population by using partial differential equation,and made the discrete model.Then we got the difference equation.After that,we discussed birth rate,mortality rate and population density.Finally,we got the variation and development trends of aging for shaoguan in the next 10 years. |
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| Keywords: | census aging of population partial differential equation development trends |
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