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| 多智能体模拟在土地变化预测中的应用 | |
| 引用本文： | 杜守帅,宋婷,马兴波.多智能体模拟在土地变化预测中的应用[J].同济大学学报(自然科学版),2011,39(10):1510-1516. |
| 作者姓名： | 杜守帅 宋婷 马兴波 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 江南大学设计学院,江苏无锡,214122 2. 日本光正株式会社,上海,200120 3. 南阳理工学院建筑系,河南南阳,473000 |
| 摘 要： | 伴随着城市建设的快速发展,城市中心及周边的绿地规模正在逐年减小,城市内部绿地环境在逐步恶化.因此对城市建设用地和绿地的变化进行定量的把握,对其变化进行预测和评价是非常重要的.以日本大分市植田地区为例,建立多智能体模型(MAS),计算各智能体的变化概率,确立各智能体的分类类型,进而对对象地区的土地变化进行模拟,并验证其有效性.再以此模型为基准,对将来的城市建成区和绿地环境变化进行预测模拟,提出结合人口要素对土地变化进行模拟预测的意见和方法. |
| 关 键 词： | 多智能体 土地变化 美国陆地探测卫星影像 |
| 收稿时间： | 7/28/2010 3:38:44 PM |
| 修稿时间： | 2011/7/18 0:00:00 |
Application of Multi agent Simulation in Land Change Prediction |
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| DU Shoushuai,SONG Ting and MA Xingbo.Application of Multi agent Simulation in Land Change Prediction[J].Journal of Tongji University(Natural Science),2011,39(10):1510-1516. | |
| Authors: | DU Shoushuai SONG Ting and MA Xingbo |
| Institution: | School of Design,Jiangnan University,Wuxi 214122,China;Japan Kousei Company,Shanghai 200120,China;Department of Architecture Nanyang Institute of Technology,Nanyang 473000,China |
| Abstract: | Based on a study of the Ueda Area of Oita in Japan,a multi-agent system(MAS) was established.The change probability of each agent was calculated,and the distribution type of each agent was identified.Then,a simulation study was made of the land change of target areas and the results were verified.Based on this model,the change in future build-up area and green land was simulated and predicted.The suggestion and method to simulate land change in conjunction with population elements were proposed. |
| Keywords: | multi-agent land change Landsat TM data |
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