| VERT-3仿真技术的发展及其在管理中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 顾昌耀,梁叔平.VERT-3仿真技术的发展及其在管理中的应用[J].系统工程与电子技术,1989(10). |
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| 作者姓名： | 顾昌耀 梁叔平 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京航空航天大学管理学院
(顾昌耀)，北京航空航天大学管理学院(梁叔平) |
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| 摘 要： | 风险评审技术(VERT-3)是以随机型网络为基础的计算机化仿真技术。它成功地应用了概率论、仿真原理和网络理论,既能用于计划决策,又能用于管理控制。它可用来确定新项目的风险和未来投资的需要量,从而对将进行的项目、计划和系统作出全面评价。 本文介绍VERT-3的功能和基本结构等方面的基本内容,并以电力产生方法的评价为例介绍了这种技术的实际应用。
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| 关 键 词： | 管理规划及监督 决策 风险 网络分析 仿真技术 PERT |
DEVELOPMENT OF THE VERT-3 SIMULATION TECHNIQUE AND ITS APPLICATION IN MANAGEMENT DECISIONS |
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| Gu Changyao and Liang ShupingBeijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics.DEVELOPMENT OF THE VERT-3 SIMULATION TECHNIQUE AND ITS APPLICATION IN MANAGEMENT DECISIONS[J].System Engineering and Electronics,1989(10). |
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| Authors: | Gu Changyao and Liang ShupingBeijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics |
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| Institution: | Gu Changyao and Liang ShupingBeijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics |
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| Abstract: | The Venture Evaluation and Review Technique (VERT) is a computerized mathematical simulation technique based on stochastic network analysis. It is developed to analyse potential risks in time, cost and performance during executing major projects and is helpful to decision making with incomplete or inadequate information on the alternatives. The main function and basic structure of VERT-3 are given in this paper. As an example, an application of VERT-3 to evaluating electric power generation methods is illustrated. |
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| Keywords: | Management planning and control Decision making Risk Network analysis Simulation technique PERT |
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