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基于TOC和SPA的EPC总承包商风险管理研究
引用本文:李美娜,章石,梁波,王海燕,安慧.基于TOC和SPA的EPC总承包商风险管理研究[J].三峡大学学报(自然科学版),2014(1):83-85.
作者姓名:李美娜  章石  梁波  王海燕  安慧
作者单位:[1]三峡大学水利与环境学院,湖北宜昌443002 [2]宜昌高新投资开发有限公司,湖北宜昌443003 [3]中国人民武装警察部队水电指挥部,北京100055
摘    要:EPC模式下,项目的大部分风险都由总承包商承担,这对总承包商的技术和管理水平提出了较高的要求.风险管理对于总承包商来说不再是阶段项目,而是整体项目的系统性管理.通过约束理论(TOC)对系统风险进行管理,同时结合集对分析(SPA)进行风险排序,找出项目系统的最大风险,是一种可持续改进动态的风险管理方法,有利于总承包商按期向业主交付满意的产品并获得预期收益.

关 键 词:交钥匙工程总承包  总承包商  约束理论  集对分析  风险管理

Risk Management Research of General Contractor in EPC Project Based on TOC and SPA
Li Meina Zhang Shi Liang Bo Wang Haiyan,. College of Hydraulic & Environmental Engineering,China Three Geoges na,. Yichang Hi-Tech Development Co.,Ltd.,Yichang,China;,. People's Armed Police of China,Beijing,China An Hui.Risk Management Research of General Contractor in EPC Project Based on TOC and SPA[J].Journal of China Three Gorges University(Natural Sciences),2014(1):83-85.
Authors:Li Meina Zhang Shi Liang Bo Wang Haiyan  College of Hydraulic & Environmental Engineering  China Three Geoges na  Yichang Hi-Tech Development Co  Ltd  Yichang  China;  People's Armed Police of China  Beijing  China An Hui
Institution:Li Meina Zhang Shi Liang Bo Wang Haiyan (1. College of Hydraulic & Environmental Engineering, China Three Geoges na 2. Yichang Hi-Tech Development Co., Ltd., Yichang 443003, China; 3. People's Armed Police of China, Beijing 100055, China) An Hui1 Univ. , Yichang 443002, Chi- Hydropower Command Post of
Abstract:In EPC mode, a general contractor accepts the most of the project, which has a higher request to the technology and management level of the general contractor. General contractor risk management is also no longer stage project but the overall project systematic management. Through the theory of constraints (TOC) on the system risk management, in combination with the set pair analysis (SPA) to sort the risk, and then to find out the biggest risk, it is a kind of sustainable better dynamic risk management method, which is benefi- cial for the contractor to consign satisfied products to the owner on schedule and to achieve expected earnings.
Keywords:EPC(Engineer  Procure  Construct)  general contractor  theory of constraints  set pair a-nalysis  risk management
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