| 秦淮河流域历史洪水检验与变化规律研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 许建国.秦淮河流域历史洪水检验与变化规律研究[J].南京师大学报,1994,17(2):89-95,99. |
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| 作者姓名： | 许建国 |
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| 作者单位： | 南京师范大学地理系 |
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| 基金项目： | 江苏省教育委员会自然科学基金 |
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| 摘 要： | 根据历史文献记载的秦淮河流域洪水信息，提出了鉴别该流城历史洪水的原则，对历史洪水序列进行了Ｆ—检验和Ｔ一检验，经谐波分析拟合了历史洪水变化的周期，用回归分析的方法探讨了最大洪峰流量与洪峰前降雨的关系，并对该流域洪水变化规律进行了研究．
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| 关 键 词： | 区域洪水 历史洪水 水灾 秦淮河 |
The Test and the Variation of the Historical Floods in the Qinhuahe Basin |
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| Xu Jianguo.The Test and the Variation of the Historical Floods in the Qinhuahe Basin[J].Journal of Nanjing Normal University(Natural Science Edition),1994,17(2):89-95,99. |
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| Authors: | Xu Jianguo |
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| Abstract: | According to the historical flood records of the Qinhuahe basin, the artical proposed the principles to discern the records, and used the F-test & the T-test to distinquish them. Then it applied the harmonic analysis to modle the periods of the flood series distinguished. In addition, it used the regerssion analysis to build the relationship between the flood peak discharges and the rainfalls raining near the appearance of the flood peak discharges. On the basis of these studies, it discussed the flood variation in the basin. |
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| Keywords: | Regional floods Historical floods Flood damages Flood frequency Flood peaks Regression analysis |
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