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央企境外投资项目风险评估研究
引用本文:张建洁,张荣,朱超,张文思,陈征.央企境外投资项目风险评估研究[J].北京理工大学学报,2014,34(S2):18-21.
作者姓名:张建洁  张荣  朱超  张文思  陈征
作者单位:北京理工大学 管理与经济学院, 北京 100081;延安大学 经济管理学院, 陕西, 延安 716000;陕西省行政学院, 陕西, 西安 710068;北京理工大学 管理与经济学院, 北京 100081;北京理工大学 管理与经济学院, 北京 100081;北京理工大学 管理与经济学院, 北京 100081
基金项目:国家自然科学基金资助项目(71172172,71272058,60979010);新世纪优秀人才支持计划(NCET-10-0043);北京理工大学科技创新计划重大项目培育专项计划(2011CX01001);国家教育部高等学校博士学科点专项科研基金资助课题(20121101110054)
摘    要:通过将投票理论中的Borda序值法应用到风险矩阵模型中进行风险评估,将央企境外投资项目遇到的风险按照重要性进行排序,从而确定风险投资项目的综合风险等级,使得关键风险得以有效控制,以期为央企境外投资项目决策者提供一种科学、客观、合理、兼具操作性的评估方法.文中通过运用风险概率-影响(P-I)矩阵分析模型,结合Borda序值法,识别出多项具体的关键性风险,从而将央企境外投资项目风险评估的更为客观有效.

关 键 词:风险评估  风险矩阵  策略研究
收稿时间:6/2/2014 12:00:00 AM

Research on The Evaluation of The Central Enterprises Overseas Investment Project Risk
ZHANG Jian-jie,ZHANG Rong,ZHU Chao,ZHANG Wen-si and CHEN Zheng.Research on The Evaluation of The Central Enterprises Overseas Investment Project Risk[J].Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology(Natural Science Edition),2014,34(S2):18-21.
Authors:ZHANG Jian-jie  ZHANG Rong  ZHU Chao  ZHANG Wen-si and CHEN Zheng
Institution:School of Management and Economics, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing 100081, China;School of Economics and Management, Yan'an University, Yan'an, Shaanxi 716000, China;Shaanxi Provincial School of Administration, Xi'an, Shaanxi 710068, China;School of Management and Economics, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing 100081, China;School of Management and Economics, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing 100081, China;School of Management and Economics, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing 100081, China
Abstract:The Borda method in the theory of voting were applied to the risk matrix model of risk assessment, the risk encountered by central enterprises overseas investment projects according to importance was sorted, so as to determine the overall risk level of risk investment projects, and the key risk can be effectively controlled. Therefore, a scientific, objective, and reasonable and operational assess method for the central enterprises overseas investment project decision makers was provided. Through the use of risk probability influence (P-I) matrix analysis model, and combined with the Borda method,a number of specific critical risk was identified, which will make overseas investment project risk evaluation more objective and effective.
Keywords:risk measurement  risk matrix  strategy research
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