| 中国能源消费与经济增长关系的因果分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 王宇新,姚梅.中国能源消费与经济增长关系的因果分析[J].合肥工业大学学报(自然科学版),2007,30(9):1163-1166. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王宇新 姚梅 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 合肥工业大学,人文经济学院,安徽,合肥,230009
2. 合肥工业大学,理学院,安徽,合肥,230009 |
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| 摘 要： | 文章从生产函数理论的新视角,利用多变量的协整检验和基于向量误差修正模型(VECM)的因果关系检验,实证分析了中国能源消费与经济增长之间的关系;结果表明,短期内中国能源消费与GDP增长之间不存在因果关系,长期内存在GDP到能源消费的单向因果关系;这一推断有重要的政策涵义,即节能政策在中国是可行的,在长期内不会影响经济的发展。
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| 关 键 词： | 能源消费 经济增长 协整 Granger因果关系 |
| 文章编号： | 1003-5060(2007)09-1163-04 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006年9月21日 |
Analysis of causality between energy consumption and economic growth in China |
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| WANG Yu-xin,YAO Mei.Analysis of causality between energy consumption and economic growth in China[J].Journal of Hefei University of Technology(Natural Science),2007,30(9):1163-1166. |
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| Authors: | WANG Yu-xin YAO Mei |
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| Abstract: | The relationship between energy consumption and economic growth is investigated by multivariate cointegration analysis and the vector error correction model(VECM) from the new viewpoint of the production function.There is no causality between energy consumption and GDP growth in the short run,but a unidirectional causal relationship running from GDP growth to energy consumption does exist in the long run,which implies that an energy conservation policy may be feasible without compromising economic growth in the long run. |
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| Keywords: | energy consumption economic growth cointegration Granger causality |
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