| 华北电网最大负荷及峰谷差的灰色等维递补预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 卢占会,牛东晓.华北电网最大负荷及峰谷差的灰色等维递补预测[J].河北大学学报(自然科学版),1994(2). |
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| 作者姓名： | 卢占会 牛东晓 |
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| 作者单位： | 华北电力学院 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文根据灰色系统理论，建立了华北电网最大负荷及峰谷差的灰色等维递补预测动态模型，并计算出了直到２０００年的最大负荷及峰谷差预测值。经检验此方法具有预测精度高、计算速度快及使用方便等优点，不失为一种实用的负荷预测方法。
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| 关 键 词： | 最大负荷，峰谷差，灰色等维递补预测模型，后验差检验，相对误差 |
The Grey Forecast of Equidimensional Filling Vacancies in ProperOrder in the Maximum Load and Peak-Vallv Difference for North-China Poyer system |
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| Lu Zhanhui Niu Dongxiao.The Grey Forecast of Equidimensional Filling Vacancies in ProperOrder in the Maximum Load and Peak-Vallv Difference for North-China Poyer system[J].Journal of Hebei University (Natural Science Edition),1994(2). |
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| Authors: | Lu Zhanhui Niu Dongxiao |
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| Institution: | North-China Institute of Electric Power |
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| Abstract: | According to the theory of the grey system,we have designed,forNorth- China power system,a dynamic state model for the grey forecast ofequidimensional filling vacancies in the maximum load and peak-vally difference.We haveobtained the forecast data of the maximum load and peak-Vallv difference up to the year2000.It has been found,through many tests,that this is a practical load forecastingmethod with the advantages of high precision,high speed and easy operation and applica- tion. |
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| Keywords: | Maximum load Peak-vally difference Model for the grey forecast ofequidimensional filling vacancies Test after test error Relative error |
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