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非平稳时间序列的线性预测
引用本文:曹忻,盛昭瀚,徐南荣.非平稳时间序列的线性预测[J].东南大学学报(自然科学版),1989(6).
作者姓名:曹忻  盛昭瀚  徐南荣
作者单位:东南大学管理学院,东南大学管理学院,东南大学管理学院
摘    要:本文研究非平稳正态时间序列的线性预测问题。导出非平稳正态序列的递推预测-平滑公式。对于讨论同一问题的某些文献的结论进行了分析,指出该文的结论对非平稳序列并不适用。

关 键 词:时间序列分析  预报  系统辨识/非平稳时间序列  线性预测  建模

Linear Prediction of Nonstationary Time Series
Cao Xin Sheng Zhaohan Xu Nanrong.Linear Prediction of Nonstationary Time Series[J].Journal of Southeast University(Natural Science Edition),1989(6).
Authors:Cao Xin Sheng Zhaohan Xu Nanrong
Institution:College of Management
Abstract:This paper is devoted to the problem of linear prediction of nonstationary Gaussian time series. A recursive predicting-smooth model is proposed and discussed. With this model, the forecast of the series is obtained through a group of formulae including both backward predictor and forward predictor. In addition, a questionable problem existing in a published literature which dealt with the same topic is pointed out and some comments are made on it.
Keywords:time series analysis  predictions  system identification / nonstationary time series  linear prediction  modelling
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