| 混沌预测技术在径流预报中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 权先璋,温权,张勇传. 混沌预测技术在径流预报中的应用[J]. 华中科技大学学报(自然科学版), 1999, 0(12) |
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| 作者姓名： | 权先璋 温权 张勇传 |
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| 作者单位： | 华中理工大学水利水电及自动化工程系 |
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| 摘 要： | 以多条河流的径流时间序列为例详细分析了基于混沌动力学的局部预测方法,并与全局方法和基于随机理论的ＡＲ（ｐ） 模型等预测方法进行了对比,结果表明,局部预测方法往往优于其他预测方法．
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| 关 键 词： | 混沌 径流时间序列 局部预测 AR(p)模型 |
The Application of Chaotic Prediction Technique in Runoff Forecast |
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| Quan Xianzhang Wen Quan Zhang Yongchuan. The Application of Chaotic Prediction Technique in Runoff Forecast[J]. JOURNAL OF HUAZHONG UNIVERSITY OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY.NATURE SCIENCE, 1999, 0(12) |
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| Authors: | Quan Xianzhang Wen Quan Zhang Yongchuan |
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| Affiliation: | Quan Xianzhang Wen Quan Zhang Yongchuan |
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| Abstract: | The local forecasting method based on the chaos dynamics is studied with the runoff time series of many rivers as examples. The new method is compared with other methods, such as global method and AR( p ) model, and it is found that the local method is always better than other ones on the results obtained. |
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| Keywords: | chaos runoff time series local prediction AR( p ) model |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 等数据库收录！ |
