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The industrial asymmetry of the stock price prediction with investor sentiment: Based on the comparison of predictive effects with SVR |
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| Authors: | Zhenni Jin Kun Guo Yi Sun Lin Lai Zhewen Liao |
| Affiliation: | 1. Sino-Danish College, University of Chinese Academy of Science, Beijing, China Research Center on Fictitious Economy and Data Science, Chinese Academy of Science, Beijing, China Key Laboratory of Big Data Mining and Knowledge Management, Chinese Academy of Science, Beijing, China;2. School of Economics and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Science, Beijing, China;3. HSBC Business School, Peking University, Shenzhen, China;4. School of Economics and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Science, Beijing, China Research Center on Fictitious Economy and Data Science, Chinese Academy of Science, Beijing, China Key Laboratory of Big Data Mining and Knowledge Management, Chinese Academy of Science, Beijing, China |
| Abstract: | As a representative emerging financial market, the Chinese stock market is more prone to volatility because of investor sentiment. It is reasonable to use efficient predictive methods to analyze the influence of investor sentiment on stock price forecasting. This paper conducts a comparative study about the predictive performance of artificial neural network, support vector regression (SVR) and autoregressive integrated moving average and selects SVR to study the asymmetry effect of investor sentiment on different industry index predictions. After studying the relevant financial indicators, the results divide the Shenwan first-class industries into two types and show that the industries affected by investor sentiment are composed of young companies with high growth and high operative pressure and there are a great number of investment bubbles in those companies. |
| Keywords: | industries asymmetry investor sentiment stock price prediction SVR |