首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
     检索      


The impact of economic growth in mortality modelling for selected OECD countries
Authors:Lydia Dutton  Athanasios A Pantelous  Malgorzata Seklecka
Institution:1. Department of Mathematical Sciences, University of Liverpool, United Kingdom;2. Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia;3. Department of Mathematical Sciences, University of Liverpool, United Kingdom

Group Accumulation Management, Zurich Insurance Group Ltd, Fareham, United Kingdom

Abstract:The health of a population is affected by social, environmental, and economic factors. Pension providers and consultants, insurance companies, government agencies and individuals in the developed world have a vested interest in understanding how the economic growth will impact on the life expectancy of their population. Therefore, changes in death rates may occur due to climate and economic changes. In this study, we extend a previous study into excess deaths as a result of climate change to also provide a comprehensive investigation of the impact of economic changes using annual female and male data for 5 developed OECD countries. We find that there is strong negative relationship between mortality index, and climate and economic proxies. This model shows to provide better fitting and forecasting results both for females and males, and for all countries studied.
Keywords:economic change (GDP)  longevity  climate change (temperature)  mortality modelling  forecasting
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号