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河北省经济增长、劳动就业与第三产业关系的实证分析
引用本文:任彪,郭海龙.河北省经济增长、劳动就业与第三产业关系的实证分析[J].河北经贸大学学报(综合版),2013(3):84-86,128.
作者姓名:任彪  郭海龙
作者单位:河北经贸大学数学与统计学学院,河北石家庄050061
摘    要:通过对经济增长、劳动就业与第三产业产值比重的实证分析,结论表明第三产业产值占GDP的比重的提高能够有效促进GDP的发展,但GDP的增长不能带动第三产业产值比重的提高;总的就业人数和经济发展水平没有明显关系,同时第三产业产值比重的提高还会对劳动就业产生挤出效应。

关 键 词:经济增长  劳动就业  第三产业产值  VAR方程  产业结构合理化

Empirical Analysis on the Relationship among Economic Growth,Employment and Tertiary Industry of Hebei Province
Authors:Ren Biao  Guo Hailong
Institution:(School of Maths and Statistics, Hebei university of Economics and Business, Shijiazhuang 050061, China)
Abstract:Through the empirical analysis on the proportion of the economics increasement, employment on tertiary industry, we find the study conclusion that proportion rise of the tertiary industry output value on GDP can effectively promote the devel- opment of GDP, but GDP growth does not drive the proportion improvement of the tertiary industry output value. The total employment and economic development level have no obvious relationship, at the same time, the improvement of the tertiary industry output value proportion will has crowding out effect on employment.
Keywords:economic growth  employment  tertiarY industry output value  VAR equation  rationalization of the industrial structure
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