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Decadal-scale precipitation variations in arid and semiarid zones of northern China during the last 500 years
Authors:Tao?Wang,Bao?Yang  author-information"  >  author-information__contact u-icon-before"  >  mailto:yangbao@ns.lzb.ac.cn"   title="  yangbao@ns.lzb.ac.cn"   itemprop="  email"   data-track="  click"   data-track-action="  Email author"   data-track-label="  "  >Email author,A.?Braeuning,Dunsheng?Xia
Affiliation:yangbao@ ns.lzb.ac.cn
Abstract:Regional decadal precipitation reconstructions for the arid and semi-arid zones of northern China were established by the use of different palaeoclimate archives such as ice-cores, tree-rings, lake sediments and written his-torical documents. Local rainfall reconstructions from single sites were averaged to obtain regional precipitation records for western and eastern regions of an arid and semiarid zone of northern China, respectively. All established regional pre-cipitation curves display 5 dry periods, each lasting about 50 years. Meanwhile, precipitation reconstructions show re-gional dissimilarities. During the last 500 years, the trends of precipitation change in the eastern arid region are basically consistent with those in the western and eastern regions of the semiarid zone. Precipitation variations in the western arid region are unique, showing significant local patterns of rainfall variability. Maximum entropy method (MEM) spec-tral estimates show that each regional precipitation series contains stationary century-scale periodicities of about 120 a. Singular spectrum analysis was applied to isolating the cen-tury-scale oscillation signals from the regional proxy pre-cipitation series. Significant periods with wavelengths of 121.4a, 154.6a, 124.3a, 118.6a, 108.5a and 121.4a were found 26.56%, 26.44%, 28.87%, 18.67%, 33.48% and 34.04% of the variances of the original series for the western arid zone, the eastern arid zone, the whole arid zone, the western semi-arid zone, the eastern semiarid zone and whole northern China, respectively.
Keywords:last 500 years   arid and semiarid zones   ice-cores   tree-rings   historical documents   precipitation variation.  
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