| 不确性条件下自然资源管理的Bayes方法 |
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| 引用本文： | 彭新育,王力.不确性条件下自然资源管理的Bayes方法[J].西南师范大学学报(自然科学版),1999,24(3):343-350. |
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| 作者姓名： | 彭新育 王力 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 华南理工大学工商管理学院,广州,510641
2. 西南师范大学资源环境科学学院,重庆,400715 |
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| 摘 要： | 给出了Ｂａｙｅｓ方法的一般描述，实例说明该方法在自然资源管理中的应用．同时，对不确定性态度进行了类似于风险态度的分类，并讨论了不同不确定性态度对自然资源管理的影响
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| 关 键 词： | Bayes方法 不确定性 自然资源管理 |
An bayesian approach to management of natural resource under uncertainty |
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| Peng Xinyu,Wang Li.An bayesian approach to management of natural resource under uncertainty[J].Journal of Southwest China Normal University(Natural Science),1999,24(3):343-350. |
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| Authors: | Peng Xinyu Wang Li |
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| Abstract: | A Bayesian characterization of uncertainty is proposed in which outcome constitute information which modifies the retrospective evaluation of course of action.Bayesian approach is introduced and an example which the approach is applied for searching fish location is given in order to show how to use the approach in management of natural resource.Meanwhile,three types of uncertainty attitudes which are analogous to risk attitudes are defined.Then the relationship between uncertainty attitude and management of natural resource is discussed. |
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| Keywords: | Bayesian approach uncertainty management of natural resource uncertainty attitude |
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