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基于实物期权理论的企业信息系统建设项目投资决策
引用本文:陈智高,应春,马玲.基于实物期权理论的企业信息系统建设项目投资决策[J].华东理工大学学报(自然科学版),2009,35(1).
作者姓名:陈智高  应春  马玲
作者单位:华东理工大学商学院,上海,200237
基金项目:上海市科技发展基金研究项目(056921047)
摘    要:在实物期权理论的框架下,根据信息系统建设项目投资的特点,分析得出可以将系统建设的投资过程看成是含有多种实物期权的序列决策。在此基础上,利用二叉树方法建立单个实物期权单阶段的定价模型,以及多阶段复合实物期权的定价模型,以期为企业在投资建设信息系统时,做出更加科学合理的投资决策提供理论依据。

关 键 词:实物期权  信息系统  投资决策  管理灵活性

Investment Decision of Enterprise Information Systems Project Based on Real Options Theory
CHEN Zhi-gao,YING Chun,MA Ling.Investment Decision of Enterprise Information Systems Project Based on Real Options Theory[J].Journal of East China University of Science and Technology,2009,35(1).
Authors:CHEN Zhi-gao  YING Chun  MA Ling
Institution:School of Business;East China University of Science and Technology;Shanghai 200237;China
Abstract:By introducing the real option theory into the decision of enterprise information systems(investment,) a real options analysis framework is proposed for the investment decision of information systems projects.According to life cycle theory,the investment process is divided into four stages,and the uncertainty factors that might exist in each stage are analyzed.And then,various kinds of real options embodied in these uncertainty factors are identified.By utilizing the binomial pricing methodology to establis...
Keywords:real options  information systems  investment decision  management flexibility  
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