|
|||||
|
|
| r雪灾对湖北省GDP增速的影响 | |
| 引用本文： | 张利斌,文丹,冯益. r雪灾对湖北省GDP增速的影响[J]. 中南民族大学学报(自然科学版), 2011, 30(4) |
| 作者姓名： | 张利斌 文丹 冯益 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 北京大学光华管理学院,北京,100084 2. 中南民族大学经济学院,武汉,430074 |
| 基金项目： | 基金项目湖北省统计科研计划项目“雪灾对湖北省经济影响的评估模型和统计分析” |
| 摘 要： | 利用ARIMA模型，计算得出2008年湖北省第1季度GDP实际累计值比预测值要低一些，GDP累计增速有所减缓，认为这主要是2008年年初的雪灾所造成的，这场雪灾给很多行业造成了负面影响，对GDP增速有拉低作用． |
| 关 键 词： | ARIMA模型 国内生产总值 雪灾 |
Impact of Snow Disaster to Increasing Speed of GDP of HuBei Province |
|
| Zhang Libin,,Wen Dan,Feng Yi. Impact of Snow Disaster to Increasing Speed of GDP of HuBei Province[J]. Journal of South-Central Univ for, 2011, 30(4) | |
| Authors: | Zhang Libin Wen Dan Feng Yi |
| Affiliation: | Zhang Libin1,2,Wen Dan2,Feng Yi2(1 Guanghua School of Management,Peking University,Beijing 100084,China,2 College of Economics,South-Central University for Nationalities,Wuhan 430074,China) |
| Abstract: | By predicting with ARIMA model, we find that the actual value of GDP of Hubei Province in first quarter in 2008 is lower than the predictive value and the increasing speed of GDP has slown down. We think that the Snow Disaster happened in early 2008 is the main cause. The Snow Disaster gave a lot of negative effect to many industries and the increasing speed of GDP. |
| Keywords: | ARIMA model GDP snow disaster |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 万方数据 等数据库收录！ | |
| 点击此处可从《中南民族大学学报(自然科学版)》浏览原始摘要信息 | |
| 点击此处可从《中南民族大学学报(自然科学版)》下载全文 | |