某钢厂冷轧发货预报模型的预测算法及策略

分析了简单趋势、时间序列、神经网络等预测方法，结合组合预测和滚动优化的思想提出了适合于某钢厂冷轧发货预报的预测策略，给出了严格的基于实际生产数据的仿真研究。仿真结果表明，依据模型提出的预测策略是可行的。

Forecasting Method and Strategy of Goods Delivery Forecasting Model of Steel Factory''''s Cool Rolling Plant

Some forecasting methods,such as simple trend forecasting,time serial forecasting,neural network forecasting and so on,are analyzed inthis paper.A forecasting strategy based on the idea of combinational forecasting and roll optimization which is suitable for the goods delivery forecasting is put forward.The strict simulation based on the real production data is presented.The result indicates that the forecasting method and strategy are feasible.