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GM(1,1)模型对马鞍山矿大巷变形预测
引用本文:徐虎,钟新谷.GM(1,1)模型对马鞍山矿大巷变形预测[J].湖南科技大学学报(自然科学版),1994(3).
作者姓名:徐虎  钟新谷
摘    要:本文在现场调研和定性分析的基础上依据灰色系统理论对马鞍山矿巷道变形数据进行多种生成处理后建立了灰色微分方程预测模型(GM(1,1)模型)并据此对-170m水平以下的巷道进行变形预测。通过预测分析作出了170m水平以下巷遗支护形式、施工工艺改革势在必行的结论。为该矿的开拓延深设计提供了科学依据,表4,参2。

关 键 词:灰色系统  巷道变形  预测

THE ROADWAY DEFORMATION FORECAST OF MAANSHAN COAL MINE BY GM(1,1)MODEL
XU Hu, Zhog Xingu.THE ROADWAY DEFORMATION FORECAST OF MAANSHAN COAL MINE BY GM(1,1)MODEL[J].Journal of Hunan University of Science & Technology(Natural Science Editon),1994(3).
Authors:XU Hu  Zhog Xingu
Institution:Dept of Mining
Abstract:Base on the site investigation and analysis,the grey differential equation fore-east model(GM(1,1)model)is built of Maanshan coal mine roadway data deformed fromgrey system theory.Then by this model forecast the deforming of roadway below -170mlevel.It is obtained that conclusion which roadway supports type and construction crafthave to reform below -170m level from forecast analysis So it provides scientific basisfor the design of the mine development to the deeper level.4tabs.,2refs.
Keywords:grey system  roadway deformation forecast  
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