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| 考虑预报误差的枫树坝水库实时调度 | |
| 引用本文： | 俞淞,雒文生,李莉红.考虑预报误差的枫树坝水库实时调度[J].北京师范大学学报(自然科学版),2009,45(5). |
| 作者姓名： | 俞淞 雒文生 李莉红 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 北京师范大学水科学研究院,水沙科学教育部重点实验室,100875,北京 2. 水资源与水电工程科学国家重点实验室,武汉大学,430072,武汉 3. 水资源与水电工程科学国家重点实验室,武汉大学,430072,武汉;四川省移民局,610017,成都 |
| 摘 要： | 在计算枫树坝水库入库洪水预报误差的基础上,进行了预报洪水风险分析,建立了枫树坝水库预报误差风险函数,为合理使用预报成果提供了科学依据.根据调度规则,结合预报误差风险作出了枫树坝水库作业预报及预报调度,可供实际预报调度决策中应用和参考. |
| 关 键 词： | 水库 洪水 预报 调度 风险 |
REAL TIME RESERVOIR DISPATCHING WITH CONSIDERATION OF FORECASTING ERROR |
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| YU Song,LUO Wensheng,LI Lihong.REAL TIME RESERVOIR DISPATCHING WITH CONSIDERATION OF FORECASTING ERROR[J].Journal of Beijing Normal University(Natural Science),2009,45(5). | |
| Authors: | YU Song LUO Wensheng LI Lihong |
| Abstract: | Based on statistical reservoir flood forecasting error, this text proceeds forecasting risk analysis, then establishes reservoir forecasting error risk function which puts scientific basis for rational use of forecasting production. According to reservoir scheduling discipline, probing into Feng Shuba reservoir forecasting dispatching which combines forecasting error risk, it puts application for real time forecasting and dispatching. |
| Keywords: | reservoir flood forecasting dispatching risk |
| 本文献已被 万方数据 等数据库收录！ | |