| 我国人口增长预测问题的自限模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 程华,高孝成,么焕民. 我国人口增长预测问题的自限模型[J]. 哈尔滨师范大学自然科学学报, 2009, 25(3): 34-35,60 |
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| 作者姓名： | 程华 高孝成 么焕民 |
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| 作者单位： | 福建经济管理干部学院;黑河学院;哈尔滨师范大学 |
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| 摘 要： | 利用自限模型预测2010—2019年人口数将依次缓慢增加,2016年突破14亿大关,未来15年人口净增加不会超出1亿人．
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| 关 键 词： | 人口增长率 自限模型 预测 |
THE SELF-LIMITING MODEL OF CHINA'S POPULATION GROWTH FORECASTING |
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| Cheng Hua,Gao Xiaocheng,Yao Huanmin. THE SELF-LIMITING MODEL OF CHINA'S POPULATION GROWTH FORECASTING[J]. Natural Science Journal of Harbin Normal University, 2009, 25(3): 34-35,60 |
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| Authors: | Cheng Hua Gao Xiaocheng Yao Huanmin |
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| Affiliation: | Fujian Economic Management Cadre Collage;Heihe University;Harbin Normal University |
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| Abstract: | This article discusses the issue of China's population growth forecasts.By using the self-limited models,we predict the China's population between 2010 to 2019 will be followed by the slow population increase.It will be exceed 1.4 billion in 2016 and will not exceed a net increase of 100 million in the next 15 years. |
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| Keywords: | Population growth rate Self-limiting model Forecasting |
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