| 基于相对误差极小化的灰色组合预测模型 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 王丰效.基于相对误差极小化的灰色组合预测模型[J].湖南文理学院学报(自然科学版),2006,18(3):15-17,45. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 王丰效 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 陕西理工学院数学系 陕西汉中723000 |
| |
| 基金项目： | 陕西省教育厅科研基金项目(06JK325)，陕西理工学院科研基金项目(XY0108,SLG0422) |
| |
| 摘 要： | 分别利用累加生成数据作为初始条件,建立了不同的灰色预测模型.以这些模型为基础,按照相对误差极小化的原则,建立了灰色组合预测模型.通过实例对比分析,表明灰色组合预测模型具有更高的预测精度和较高的理论实践价值.
|
| 关 键 词： | 灰色模型 初始值 预测 序列 |
| 文章编号： | 1672-6146（2006）03-0015-03 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-05-30 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006年5月30日 |
Grey Combination Forecast Models Based on Relative Error Minimize |
| |
| WANG Feng-xiao.Grey Combination Forecast Models Based on Relative Error Minimize[J].Journal of Hunan University of Arts and Science:Natural Science Edition,2006,18(3):15-17,45. |
| |
| Authors: | WANG Feng-xiao |
| |
| Abstract: | Make use of the i-th component of 1-AGO sequence as the starting conditions of the grey differential equation, the grey forecast models were established. Based on the relative error minimizes principle, the grey combination prediction model was discussed. The conclusion was obtained that the improvement GM (1, 1) model has higher precision than the original one. By comparing the practicability with reliability of this model, some example was validated. |
| |
| Keywords: | grey model initialization forecast sequence |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
