| 短跑道速度滑冰全国纪录的灰色模型及其预测 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 高天,李宏.短跑道速度滑冰全国纪录的灰色模型及其预测[J].高师理科学刊,2001,21(1):49-52. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 高天 李宏 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 1. 齐齐哈尔市滑冰中心,黑龙江,齐齐哈尔,161005
2. 齐齐哈尔大学,体育部,黑龙江,齐齐哈尔,161006 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 针对运动成绩变化规律的模糊性、未知性等 ,运用灰色理论的灰色模型方法建立了我国男女短跑道速滑全国记录 1 0个项目的灰色GM ( 1 1 )预测模型 ,并进行了后验差检验和关联度分析 ,结果表明预测模型可信 ,精度较高 并用该模型对 2 0 0 1～ 2 0 0 3年运动成绩进行预测
|
| 关 键 词： | 短跑道速滑 全国记录 GM(1.1)预测模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1007-9831(2001)01-0049-04 |
| 修稿时间： | 2000年11月28 |
The grey model and forecasting of short-distance track speed skating in national record |
| |
| GAO Tian,LI Hong.The grey model and forecasting of short-distance track speed skating in national record[J].Journal of Science of Teachers＇College and University,2001,21(1):49-52. |
| |
| Authors: | GAO Tian LI Hong |
| |
| Institution: | GAO Tian1,LI Hong 2 |
| |
| Abstract: | Aimed at the obscurity and unknown quality in the law of sports ackievements changes,this theirs is about the grey model(GM(1.1) and forecasting of men and women short-distance track speed skating in 10 national records,which is or the basis of the grey model in the grey theory.This modeel has experienced the disparity text and the dualysis of interrelation.The result proved the credibility and higher precision of this model at the same time ,this model can be enployed in forecastivg the sports adievemevts in the years 2001～2003. |
| |
| Keywords: | short-distance track speed skating national record forecasting model GM(1 1) |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
|
