| 能源强度直接效应、间接效应与影响路径的实证分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 邵兴军,田立新.能源强度直接效应、间接效应与影响路径的实证分析[J].系统工程,2011(7). |
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| 作者姓名： | 邵兴军 田立新 |
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| 作者单位： | 江苏大学工商管理学院;江苏大学非线性研究中心; |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金资助项目(71073072) |
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| 摘 要： | 利用路径分析模型分析产业结构、能源消费结构、能源-劳动力配置、劳动生产率等因素对能源强度影响,计算了能源强度的直接效应和间接效应。分析表明:提高第二、三产业劳动生产率既可直接降低能源强度又可间接通过能源-劳动力配置来降低能源强度;提高第三产业结构既可直接降低能源强度又可间接通过提高第二、三产业劳动生产率来降低能源强度;降低能源-劳动力配置有助于降低能源强度;提高天然气和电力的比重,降低煤炭和油料的比重将降低能源强度。因此,降低能源强度在于提高第二、三产业劳动生产率。
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| 关 键 词： | 路径分析 能源强度 劳动生产率 产业结构 能源结构 |
Empirical Analysis on the Direct Effect,Indirect Effect and the Effect Path of Energy Intensity |
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| SHAO Xing-jun,TIAN Li-xin.Empirical Analysis on the Direct Effect,Indirect Effect and the Effect Path of Energy Intensity[J].Systems Engineering,2011(7). |
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| Authors: | SHAO Xing-jun TIAN Li-xin |
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| Institution: | SHAO Xing-jun1,TIAN Li-xin2(1. School of Management,Jiangsu University,Zhenjiang 212013,China,2.Center of Nonlinear Science Research,China) |
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| Abstract: | The influence of industrial structure,energy consumption structure,energy-labor configuration and labor productivity on energy intensity are analyzed and the direct and indirect effect of energy intensity are calculated by using path analysis model.The empirical analyses reveal that: to improve the secondary and tertiary industry labor productivity can not only directly reduce energy intensity but also indirectly reduce energy intensity by reducing energy-labor configuration.To improve the tertiary industry... |
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| Keywords: | Path Analysis Energy Intensity Labor Productivity Industrial Structure Energy Consumption Structure |
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