| 中国卫生总费用与GDP协整和引导关系的实证分析 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 侯文,任苒.中国卫生总费用与GDP协整和引导关系的实证分析[J].辽宁师范大学学报(自然科学版),2008,31(1):12-14. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 侯文 任苒 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 1. 辽宁师范大学,数学学院,辽宁,大连,116029
2. 大连医科大学,卫生事业管理教研室,辽宁,大连,116027 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 为了深入探讨中国卫生总费用增长变化的趋势,本文利用协整理论,对我国卫生总费用与GDP的内在关系进行了实证分析.结果表明:中国卫生总费用与GDP均为一阶单整序列,两者之间存在动态均衡关系,并且经过引导检验,GDP的增长和卫生总费用的增长具有Grange因果关系.这一结果比传统计量经济模型方法所得结果更加深刻.
|
| 关 键 词： | 单位根 协整 误差修正模型 Granger因果关系 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-1735（2008）01-0012-03 |
| 收稿时间： | 2007-06-18 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007年6月18日 |
Analysis of co-integration and guiding Relationship between chinese total health expenditures and GDP |
| |
| HOU Wen,REN Ran.Analysis of co-integration and guiding Relationship between chinese total health expenditures and GDP[J].Journal of Liaoning Normal University(Natural Science Edition),2008,31(1):12-14. |
| |
| Authors: | HOU Wen REN Ran |
| |
| Abstract: | In order to thoroughly discuss the tendency and the reason for the change of Chinese total health expenditures, this paper analyzes the internal relationship of Chinese total health expenditures and GDP with samples and builds up error correction model, using the theory of co-integration and time sequence analysis. It shows that Chinese total health and GDP are both of first order sequence single integers and there is a dynamic balance relation between them. testing shows that there exists Grangez causality relation between the increases of GDP and total health expenditures. This result is more profound than that of traditional measuring economic model. |
| |
| Keywords: | unit root co-integration error correction model granger causality celation |
| 本文献已被 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
|
