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量子粒子群优化神经网络集成股市预测模型研究
引用本文:汪灵枝,罗朝晖,韦增欣,赵秋梅.量子粒子群优化神经网络集成股市预测模型研究[J].广西科学,2010,17(4):324-327.
作者姓名:汪灵枝  罗朝晖  韦增欣  赵秋梅
作者单位:[1]柳州师范高等专科学校数学与计算机科学系,广西柳州545004 [2]广西大学数学与信息科学学院,广西南宁530004 [3]百色学院数学与计算机科学系,广西百色533000
摘    要:利用量子粒子群优化神经网络集成个体的网络结构和连接权值,对集成个体进行支持向量机回归集成,建立一个新的量子粒子群优化神经网络集成股市预测模型。新模型能有效提高神经网络集成系统的泛化能力,易操作,稳定性好,预测精度高,具有良好的应用前景。

关 键 词:优化  股市预测  量子粒子群  支持向量机  神经网络  集成
收稿时间:2010/3/11 0:00:00

A Neural Network Ensemble Forecasting Model Research of Stock Market Based on Quantum Particle Swarm Optimization
WANG Ling-zhi,LUO Chao-hui,WEI Zeng-xin and ZHAO Qiu-mei.A Neural Network Ensemble Forecasting Model Research of Stock Market Based on Quantum Particle Swarm Optimization[J].Guangxi Sciences,2010,17(4):324-327.
Authors:WANG Ling-zhi  LUO Chao-hui  WEI Zeng-xin and ZHAO Qiu-mei
Institution:1. Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, Liuzhou Teachers College, Liuzhou, 545004,China; 2. College of Mathematics and Information Science, Guangxi University, Nanning, Guangxi, 530004, China ; 3. Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, Baise University, Baise, Guangxi, 533000, China)
Abstract:A novel neural network ensemble forecasting model based on quantum particle swarm optimization (QPSO) was proposed. The QPSO algorithm is used to evolve neural network architecture and connection weights, to generate different individual of neural network. Then Support Vector Machine is used for regression ensemble. Empirical results reveal that the prediction is generalization ability. The illustration and testing reveal that the ensemble model proposed can be used as an alternative forecasting tool for stock market forecasting in achieving greater accuracy and improving prediction quality further.
Keywords:optimization  stock market forecast  quantum behaved particle swarm optimization  support vector machine  neural network  ensembles
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