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基于GIS的昭通市烤烟种植动态气候区划评估(预测)研究
引用本文:杨鹏武,朱勇,王学锋,范立张,杨晓鹏.基于GIS的昭通市烤烟种植动态气候区划评估(预测)研究[J].云南大学学报(自然科学版),2011(Z1).
作者姓名:杨鹏武  朱勇  王学锋  范立张  杨晓鹏
作者单位:云南大学大气科学系;云南省气候中心;
基金项目:国家公益性行业科研专项资助项目(GYHY200906021)
摘    要:首先构建了昭通市烤烟种植气候区划定量评价指标体系和评价方法,然后探讨了用多元线性回归结合GIS技术的气候要素空间小网格插值的问题,突破了传统气候变化影响研究总以离散点或区域平均来表达的局限,启动了面上气候波动变化影响的业务服务应用.研究了烤烟种植动态气候区划评估(预测)方法,力图把传统作物气候区划的功能从空间静态性评价提升到空间+时间动态性评估(或预评估)水平,着力反映地方立体气候和气候变化对烟草业的影响.显著提高了烤烟气候区划的生产实用指导性和应用价值.

关 键 词:烤烟种植  气候区划  动态  评估(预测)  GIS技术  

Evaluation(prediction) of GIS-based dynamic climate zoning of tobacco cultivation for Zhaotong City
YANG Peng-wu,ZHU Yong,WANG Xue-feng,FAN Li-zhang,YANG Xiao-peng.Evaluation(prediction) of GIS-based dynamic climate zoning of tobacco cultivation for Zhaotong City[J].Journal of Yunnan University(Natural Sciences),2011(Z1).
Authors:YANG Peng-wu    ZHU Yong  WANG Xue-feng  FAN Li-zhang  YANG Xiao-peng
Institution:YANG Peng-wu1,2,ZHU Yong2,WANG Xue-feng2,FAN Li-zhang2,YANG Xiao-peng2(1.Department of Atmospheric Science,Yunnan University,Kunming 650091,China,2.Climate Center of Yunnan Province,Kunming 650034,China)
Abstract:At first,the quantitative index system and method of evaluation of climate zoning of tobacco cultivation was constructed for Zhaotong City and the question of small space-grid interpolation of climatic factors was discussed based on the method of Multiple linear regression and the GIS Technology.By the use of profession service based on the affects of climate fluctuations for surface,the traditional impact study of climate change that the method of discrete points or regional average was always applied was ...
Keywords:tobacco cultivation  climate zoning  dynamic  evaluation(prediction)  GIS technology  
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