突发事件情景应对案例库族谱设计

突发事件情景超越经验,应急行动又依赖于应对者的经验.应用案例推理是比较有效的学习历史经验的途径,有助于厘清突发事件应对情景的演变.面对多阶段、多目标、多主体的复杂灾情,单一领域的案例库系统难以满足应对需求,需构建跨领域的集成案例库.本文引入生物分类学方法与案例相似度概念,着重于案例库族谱设计,分别结合情景演化考虑事件链与情景相似度,阐述了案例族谱横向与纵向两个维度及其关系.基于这一架构理论,规划了深圳市突发事件应急案例库的族谱结构.

Design of the emergency case pedigree for scenario response

Emergencies beyond the experience, but they also depend on experience. Application of case-based reasoning is effective way of drawing lessons from historical case; it is useful to clarify the evolution of emergency response scenario. Facing the complex disaster situation with multi-stage, multi-objective and multi-subject, single domain case base system is difficult to meet the requirement. It needs to build domain-general integrated case base. In this paper, the taxonomy method and case similarity metric are employed to design case pedigree. The longitudinal dimension, horizontal dimension of case pedigree and their relationship are illustrated with scenario evolution by considering event chain and scenario similarity metric respectively. Based on the proposed frame theory, an example is given in the city of Shenzhen to build related case pedigree.