| 青岛市生活垃圾量的关联度分析与灰色模型预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 杨有清,袁涌铨,孙杰.青岛市生活垃圾量的关联度分析与灰色模型预测[J].中南民族大学学报(自然科学版),2005,24(3):5-8. |
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| 作者姓名： | 杨有清 袁涌铨 孙杰 |
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| 作者单位： | 中南民族大学,化学与材料科学学院催化材料科学湖北省重点实验室,武汉,430074 |
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| 摘 要： | 运用关联度分析法,定量分析了影响青岛市生活垃圾产生量的主要内在因子,提出了利用环境教育等外在因素的控制对策.并运用灰色系统理论建立了该市垃圾产生量的GM(1,1)预测模型,对青岛市生活垃圾未来产量进行了预测,结果均符合一级精度,为青岛市环境规划管理提供定量依据.
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| 关 键 词： | 生活垃圾 关联度分析 灰色模型预测 |
| 文章编号： | 1672-4321（2005）03-0005-04 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-04-19 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005年4月19日 |
Factor Analysis and Grey Model Predication of Domestic Refuse Yields in Qingdao City |
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| Yang Youqing,Yuan Yongquan,Sun Jie.Factor Analysis and Grey Model Predication of Domestic Refuse Yields in Qingdao City[J].Journal of South-Central Univ for,2005,24(3):5-8. |
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| Authors: | Yang Youqing Yuan Yongquan Sun Jie |
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| Abstract: | Based on the statistical data of domestic refuse yields from 1992 to 2001 in Qingdao city, the method of grey relative analysis was used to study the vital factors which affecting refuse yields quantitatively and advanced the control policy of increscent yields with environmental education. A single grey model GM(1,1) was established to forecast the domestic refuse. The prediction precision of these models was tested by residual-revision method to be feasible and valid as followed. The prediction can provide quantificational foundation for environmental programming and management of Qingdao city. |
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| Keywords: | domestic refuse grey relative analysis grey model prediction |
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