| 河北省人口-耕地-粮食系统动态分析预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 冯晓淼,于江海,梁彦庆. 河北省人口-耕地-粮食系统动态分析预测[J]. 河北师范大学学报(自然科学版), 2005, 29(1): 101-105 |
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| 作者姓名： | 冯晓淼 于江海 梁彦庆 |
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| 作者单位： | 西北师范大学,地理与环境科学学院,甘肃,兰州,730070;河北师范大学,资源与环境科学学院,河北,石家庄,050016;河北师范大学,资源与环境科学学院,河北,石家庄,050016;石家庄铁道学院,土木工程分院,河北,石家庄,050043 |
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| 基金项目： | 河北省自然科学基金资助项目(403163) |
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| 摘 要： | 近年来河北省经济处于快速发展阶段，各类建设对耕地的占用现象十分严重，使人地矛盾日益尖锐,笔者分析了河北省近50a来人口、耕地、粮食的动态变化，利用灰色预测模型分别预测了人口、耕地、粮食在未来20a的变化趋势，阐述了未来河北省耕地资源和粮食供给情况，并据此提出了相应的对策．
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| 关 键 词： | 河北省 人口 耕地 粮食 灰色GM(1,1)模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-5854(2005)01-0101-05 |
| 修稿时间： | 2004-04-08 |
The Forecasting Analyzed to Hebei Province Population - Cultivated Land - Grain Trends |
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| FENG Xiao-miao,YU Jiang-hai,LIANG Yan-qing. The Forecasting Analyzed to Hebei Province Population - Cultivated Land - Grain Trends[J]. Journal of Hebei Normal University, 2005, 29(1): 101-105 |
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| Authors: | FENG Xiao-miao YU Jiang-hai LIANG Yan-qing |
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| Affiliation: | FENG Xiao-miao~1,YU Jiang-hai~2,LIANG Yan-qing~3 |
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| Abstract: | Recently,the economy is in a period of fast development in Hebei province.The phenomenon that occupying cultivated land for every kind of production is very serious,so the contradiction between people and land is more and more penetrating.This paper forecasts the trends of cultivated land and grain on the future in Hebei province by using the grey forecast model,based on the analyses of the trends of the population,cultivated land,grain in the past 50 years.It indicates the situation of cultivated land resources and grain supply in Hebei province.Finally the measures are put forward. |
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| Keywords: | Hebei province population cultivated land grain grey forecast model |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
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