冷源、热源温度对自然循环系统运行可靠性的影响分析

 物理过程失效是导致非能动系统运行失效的重要因素之一,必须在非能动系统可靠性分析中予以考虑.而对于物理过程失效,目前尚无成熟的分析方法.本文提出采用蒙特卡罗模拟方法研究冷源温度、热源温度在其合理范围内变化对自然循环系统运行可靠性的影响.结果表明,冷源、热源温度变化对系统物理过程失效具有重要影响,且运行列数越少,影响越显著.计算结果说明系统运行失效是物理过程失效与设备失效综合作用的结果,但并非二者的简单叠加,物理过程失效与设备失效是互为条件的;当系统设计安全裕量较大时,即使参与运行的设备列数不能满足设计要求,也并不一定导致系统失效.

Influence of Heat Sink and Source Temperature on Operation Reliability of Natural Circulation System

In the Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA), Fault Tree (FT) is the approach commonly used for system reliability analysis. And it is the important feature of passive system and the basic difference from the active system that nuclear plant is able to be driven to safe state or shutdown by inherent safety characters of the reactor and physical principles, and is independent of human interfere or the operations of outside equipments, when the reactor is in the abnormal condition. Therefore, the passive system is widely used in new generation Nuclear Power Plant(NPP), such as AP1000 NPPs and high-temperature gas-cooled reactors to improve the safety. At the same time, since the passive system operation is depending on natural force, both the driven force and resistance are influenced by many uncertain factors, physical process failure become one of the significant causes for the system failure, which need to be considered in the system reliability analysis. FT method is not power enough to deal with this condition. For the passive system which is operating based on natural circulation, temperature of heat source and sink are important influence factors on system operation. Monte Carlo (MC) simulation is used to analyze the influence of heat source and sink temperature on system operation. From the result, it could be seen that the less the number of operation train is, the more prominent influence is. And if the safety margin is big enough, the system might not fail even when the system configuration does not satisfy design requirement, that is, the system failure is the integrate result of physical process failure and device failure which are mutually conditional.