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存款准备金率变动对股市影响的实证研究
引用本文:文先明,江辉,刘作.存款准备金率变动对股市影响的实证研究[J].系统工程,2012(4):18-24.
作者姓名:文先明  江辉  刘作
作者单位:长沙理工大学经济与管理学院
摘    要:运用VAR模型的G ranger因果检验和脉冲响应函数分析研究了中央银行存款准备金率变动对沪深300指数的影响,并通过方差分解分析前者对后者的贡献度。得出的结论是存款准备金率变动对股市波动在短期内存在一定负方向的影响,股市波动对存款准备金率则无影响。但在长期内,存款准备金率变动对股市影响很小。最后在此基础上提出相关的货币政策的建议。

关 键 词:存款准备金率  沪深300指数  Granger因果检验  脉冲响应分析  方差分解

Empirical Research on the Impact of Changes in Deposit Reserve Ratio on Stock Market
WEN Xian-ming,JIANG Hui,LIU Zuo.Empirical Research on the Impact of Changes in Deposit Reserve Ratio on Stock Market[J].Systems Engineering,2012(4):18-24.
Authors:WEN Xian-ming  JIANG Hui  LIU Zuo
Institution:(School of Economics and Management,Changsha University of Science and Technology,Changsha 410114,China)
Abstract:This paper uses Granger test of VAR model and impulse response function to research the impact of the central bank deposit reserve rate changes on the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index.It is concluded that the deposit reserve ratio negatively correlate with stock market volatility in the short period,and stock market volatility has no influence on the deposit reserve ratio,whose change has a small impact on the stock market in the long time.Finally,we put forward proposals concerning to monetary policy.
Keywords:Reserve Ratio  Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index  Granger Test  IRF  Variance Decomposition
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