| 西藏西北高原气候变化趋势及预测——以狮泉河站为例 |
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| 引用本文： | 尚可政,韩晶晶,杨德保,王式功.西藏西北高原气候变化趋势及预测——以狮泉河站为例[J].兰州大学学报(自然科学版),2006,42(6):27-32. |
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| 作者姓名： | 尚可政 韩晶晶 杨德保 王式功 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 兰州大学,大气科学学院,甘肃,兰州,730000
2. 上海市浦东区气象局,上海,201204 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金，西藏科技厅资助项目，高等学校博士学科点专项科研项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 利用西藏狮泉河气象站1961～2000年气温、降水等资料,分析了40年来西藏西北高原地区的气候变化,并对未来气候变化的可能趋势做了预测.将预测结果与2002～2004年的实际观测资料相比较,预测结果与实际值接近,因此,预测结果是基本可信的.
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| 关 键 词： | 狮泉河 气候变化 预测 |
| 文章编号： | 0455-2059（2006）06-0027-06 |
| 收稿时间： | 10 26 2005 12:00AM |
| 修稿时间： | 2005-10-262006-03-18 |
The climate changing trend and prediction in Northwest Tibet represented by the Shiquan River meteorological station |
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| SHANG Ke-zheng,HAN Jing-jing,YANG De-bao,WANG Shi-gong.The climate changing trend and prediction in Northwest Tibet represented by the Shiquan River meteorological station[J].Journal of Lanzhou University(Natural Science),2006,42(6):27-32. |
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| Authors: | SHANG Ke-zheng HAN Jing-jing YANG De-bao WANG Shi-gong |
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| Institution: | 1. School of Atmospheric Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730000, China; 2. Meteorological Bureau of Pudong, Shanghai, Shanghai 201204, China |
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| Abstract: | Using the temperature and rainfall data of Shiquan River meteorological station in Tibet from 1961 to 2000, the characteristics of climate changes in the regions of the Northwest Tibet have been analyzed. The possible tread for future climate change has been predicted, too. A comparison of the prediction and observation data from 2002 to 2004 shows that they are very similar. So the prediction is basically credible. |
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| Keywords: | Shiquan River climate change prediction |
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