基于VAR模型的广西消费、投资和经济增长关系的实证研究

文章通过建立消费、投资和GDP的向量自回归(VAR)模型,利用格兰杰非因果性检验、脉冲响应和预测方差分解的方法对广西经济系统中消费、投资与经济增长的关系进行实证分析,研究结果表明:消费对于广西的经济增长有着重要的作用,因此,通过适当刺激消费,促进消费结构升级,能够更快更好地促进广西的经济发展.

Empirical Research of the Relationship between Consumption, Investment and Economic Growth in Guangxi Province Based on VAR Model

through the establishment of the VAR model based on consumption investment and GDP , applies the method of non- Granger causality test, impulse response and forecast variance decomposition to make up positive analysis in Guangxi Province, Analysis of the study shows： the consumption plays an important role to Guangxi province＇s economic growth . So, through stimulating consumption appropriately and promoting the consumption structure upgrading, it can promote the economic development of Guangxi province faster and better.