初速可调下的新型舰炮对海作战能力需求生成

为实现新型舰炮对海作战中由任务向能力的转化，建立了作战能力需求框架模型，从对海作战流程出发，分析对海作战子任务与能力指标之间的映射关系，建立新型舰炮在对海作战过程中的探测概率、最大发现距离、反应时间、单发命中概率等数学模型，仿真验证新型舰炮在不同初速下，以要达到指定单发命中概率射击20 km处目标时的火控系统精度为标准，分析在不同射击距离下对新型舰炮的能力指标要求，以及不同初速下能力指标的变化趋势.结果表明，火控系统精度越高，单发命中概率越大；对近距离目标，初速越大，单发命中概率越好，而距离较远时，初速的优势体现得不明显. 

Anti-Sea Combat Capability Requirement Generation of New Naval Gun with Adjustable Muzzle Velocity

In order to realize the transformation of naval gun from task to capability in anti-sea combat, the framework model of capability requirement was established. The paper analyzed the mapping relationship between sea combat task and combat capability based on the naval gun combat process. According to the mapping relationship, the mathematical models of the detection probability, maximum detection distance, reaction time and single-shot probability were established. The simulation experiment analyzed the capability requirements of the new naval gun at different firing distances with the fire control system accuracy when shooting at 20 km as the standard under the variable initial velocity of new naval gun, and analyzed the change trend of the capability index at different initial speeds. The result shows the higher precision of fire control system, the greater single-shot probability. For targets within sight distance, the higher the initial velocity, the better the single-shot probability. But the advantage of initial velocity is not obvious for long distance targets. The method has important theoretical and practical significance for scientific development of naval gun weapon equipment.