基于元胞自动机的民航运输产业竞争演化模拟

为研究民航运输产业的竞争演化, 考虑航空公司的资源竞争力、职能竞争力、核心竞争力及动态核心能力四层次竞争力等因素, 建立了元胞自动机模型. 以中美两国民航运输产业的竞争演化为例, 对主导元胞(航空公司)和支持元胞(机场)的协同发展及其盈利状况进行了模拟研究. 研究结果表明, 美国民航业放松航空管制后因航空公司动态核心能力不强, 行业整体盈利状况不佳; 我国民航业半放松管制后, 盈利状况也不容乐观. 然而, 提高航空公司的动态核心能力既可以避免美国民航业发展中经营惨淡的局面, 同时又能促进我国民航业的快速发展.

Simulating the competition evolution of the civil aviation industry based on cellular automata

In order to research the competition evolution of the aviation industry,built the cellular automata model with consideration of resource,function,core competence and dynamic core competence of airlines four competition factors.Took competition evolution of the civil aviation industry in China and USA for examples,simulated the coordinated development and profit status of the major cells(airlines) and supportive cells(airports).The result indicates the industry profit status of USA are not good after the der...