| 福建省金融发展、对外贸易与产业结构关系研究——基于VAR模型的实证分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 万建军,李扬如.福建省金融发展、对外贸易与产业结构关系研究——基于VAR模型的实证分析[J].莆田高等专科学校学报,2014(4):53-57. |
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| 作者姓名： | 万建军 李扬如 |
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| 作者单位： | 福州大学经济与管理学院,福建福州350108 |
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| 摘 要： | 采用1991—2013年福建省金融相关率、净出口率和第二产业比重三个变量,建立了VAR模型,实证结果表明：金融发展与产业结构互为Granger因果关系,对外贸易和产业结构互为Granger因果关系,金融发展是对外贸易的Granger因果关系不显著,但对外贸易是金融发展的Granger因果关系很显著。结合福建省具体情况,提出若干政策建议。
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| 关 键 词： | 福建省 金融 对外贸易 产业结构 VAR模型 |
A Research on the Relationship between Financial Development,Foreign Trade and the Industrial Structure of Fujian---An Empirical Analysis Based on VAR Model |
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| WAN Jian-jun,LI Yang-ru.A Research on the Relationship between Financial Development,Foreign Trade and the Industrial Structure of Fujian---An Empirical Analysis Based on VAR Model[J].Journal of Putian College,2014(4):53-57. |
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| Authors: | WAN Jian-jun LI Yang-ru |
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| Institution: | (School of Economics and Management, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou Fujian 350108, China ) |
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| Abstract: | T he paper uses the financial related rate,net export rate and the proportion of the second industry of Fujian Province from1991 to 2013 to establish the VAR model. T he empirical results show the G ranger causality betw een the financial development and industrial structure, and betw een foreign trade and industrial structure. Financial development is not the G ranger causality of foreign trade, w hile the foreign trade is very significant in financial development. Finally, according to the circumstances of Fujian, it puts forw ard some suggestions. |
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| Keywords: | Fujian Province finance international trade industrial structure VAR model |
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