我国对外贸易与碳排放关系的实证研究

以中国1990—2012年的碳排放量和对外贸易进出口额为基础进行统计和分析,得出随着中国对外贸易进出口额的不断增长,中国的碳排放量也呈现出了相似的增长趋势.采用计量分析对我国碳排放量与对外贸易进出口额进行平稳性检验和两者的协整检验,表明中国的碳排放与对外贸易存在长期的均衡关系,同时,通过误差修正得出了两者的短期波动关系.根据实证分析所得出的两者的关系,提出了相应的对策建议.

Empirical Analysis on the Relationship Between Foreign Trade and Carbon Emission in China

By the statis tics and analysis of Chinese carbon emissions and import and export of foreign trade in 1990-2012,we found that as the growing of Chinese foreign trade import and export,Chinese carbon emissions showed a similar growth trend. Econometric analysis was used to make stationary test and co-integration test of Chinese carbon emissions and foreign trade turnover,and the results indicated a long-term equilibrium relationship between Chinese foreign trade and carbon emissions,while we also got the short-term volatile relationship between them by error correction. According to the results of the empirical analysis of the relationship between them,we put forward the corresponding countermeasure and suggestion.