基于降阶态法的地下指挥所毁伤评估

为评估常规战斗部对地下指挥所的毁伤能力，研究得到了地下指挥所毁伤树结构图、毁伤等级和部件毁伤判据. 采用蒙特卡洛方法和降阶态评估方法建立了侵彻爆破战斗部对地下指挥所的毁伤评估模型. 通过仿真计算得到了各种弹目交汇初始条件下，地下指挥所所有可能的关键部件毁伤态向量的全域分布，从而给出各个功能子系统的性能降阶态发生概率及地下指挥所整体易损性度量指标.

Damage Assessment of Underground Command Post Based on Degraded States Vulnerability Methodology

To evaluate the damage ability of conventional warhead to underground buildings, the fault tree structure, damage levels and damage criterion for the key components of underground buildings were obtained. The damage assessment models of the underground buildings attacked by warheads were established by the Monte Carlo method and degraded state assessment method. The global distributions of the components damage state vector of the underground building under various target-threat interaction initial conditions were gained, and the kill probability of performance degraded state distribution in every function sub-system and the overall vulnerability index for underground command post were given.