| 苏北运河沿线航运市场需求分析预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 管蓓蓓,周敏,马爱葵,甄峰.苏北运河沿线航运市场需求分析预测[J].河南科学,2009,27(1):98-101. |
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| 作者姓名： | 管蓓蓓 周敏 马爱葵 甄峰 |
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| 作者单位： | 南京大学,地理与海洋科学学院,南京,210093 |
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| 摘 要： | 采用增长率法对苏北运河10个主要船闸总货物通过量进行预测，运用回归分析法预测典型船闸的货物通过量，对苏北运河沿线航运市场需求潜力进行预测并分析了各船闸的极限货物通过能力．
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| 关 键 词： | 苏北运河 货物通过量 市场需求潜力 极限货物通过能力 预测 |
Prediction on Demand of Shipping Market of the North Jiangsu Section of Jing-Hang Grand Canal |
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| Guan Beibei,Zhou Min,Ma Aikui,Zhen Feng.Prediction on Demand of Shipping Market of the North Jiangsu Section of Jing-Hang Grand Canal[J].Henan Science,2009,27(1):98-101. |
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| Authors: | Guan Beibei Zhou Min Ma Aikui Zhen Feng |
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| Institution: | Department of Urban and Regional Planning;Nanjing University;Nanjing 210093;China |
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| Abstract: | This article adopts the method of the continuous growth rate to forecast the pass amounts of cargo of the main 10 shiplocks of the north Jiangsu section of Jing-Hang grand canal,and adopts the regression analysis law to forecast the pass amounts of cargo of the typical shiplocks. It also forecasts the potential demand of shipping market of the north Jiangsu section of Jing-Hang grand canal and analyses the utmost through capacity of the main shiplocks. |
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| Keywords: | north Jiangsu section of Jing-Hang grand canal pass amounts of cargo potential demand utmost through capacity forecast |
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